Hurricane Local Statement for DEAN

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WTCA82 TJSJ 181558
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-182115- 

BULLETIN- 
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 
1155 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

 ...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND 
PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN THREATENS HAITI...JAMAICA...CAYMAN ISLANDS...HEAVY 
SQUALLS APPROACHING HISPANIOLA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE MAIN 
LOCAL IMPACTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY RAINS...FLASH FLOODING 
...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION.  

...AREAS AFFECTED...
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL ATLANTIC AND 
CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALL PASSAGES.  A FLASH FLOOD 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAINT CROIX AND PORTIONS OF PUERTO 
RICO THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND 
EAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE U.S. 
VIRGIN ISLANDS. 

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 285 MILES 
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT CROIX...300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST THOMAS...250 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN...AND 205 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCE...OR 
ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO ROJO.  DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE 
WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. A TRACK BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST 
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN 
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 
HURRICANE DEAN IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST WELL SOUTH OF THE MONA 
PASSAGE. ITS MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL  
CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO. FOR LAND AREAS THE 
PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE HEAVY RAINS...GUSTY WINDS AND FLASH 
FLOODING. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND 
SEAS SUBSIDE MANLY ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND MONA PASSAGE WATERS. 
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT ALONG THE ATLANTIC 
WATERS. 

...WINDS...
WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAY OCCUR OVER PARTS OF 
PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO WIND 
ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN SAN 
JUAN FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.  

WIND GUSTS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SAINT 
CROIX AND ITS SURROUNDING WATERS...THEN BY EVENING ACROSS PUERTO 
RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. 

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE AT 14 TO 19 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN 
WATERS AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. DUE TO 
THESE DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN 
PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE THROUGH TONIGHT. 
IN ADDITION...ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG 
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS IN THE OUTER 
FRINGES OF THE STORM. THE LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY 
STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. PERSONS 
ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF 
THIS DANGEROUS SURF. PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. 


...INLAND FLOODING...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
NORTHEASTERN FRINGES OF DEAN ARE STILL AFFECTING INLAND PUERTO RICO 
AND SOUTHWEST SAINT CROIX. AS THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE ON A 
MORE WEST NORTHWEST TRACK IT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH MORE SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ITS TAIL TOWARDS THE SAINT CROIX AND 
PUERTO RICO. LOCAL EFFECTS COULD ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. 

RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INLAND WEST AND INTERIOR SECTION OF PUERTO RICO. 
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL REMAINS HIGH AND LANDSLIDES OR MUDSLIDES COULD 
OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.   

...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS WILL BE THE LAST SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT TO BE 
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN 
PUERTO RICO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON DEAN PLEASE REFER TO 
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. 

$$

RM