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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic describes potential new tropical cyclone formation only; currently active cyclones are not shown. Mousing over the shaded areas displays details on each disturbance; clicking on the shaded areas or disturbance numbers toggles a view of a single or multiple disturbances.

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

200 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure located about 400 miles east-
southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is producing an area of
gale force winds to its southeast.  While the associated shower
and thunderstorm activity has increased a little during the past few
hours, satellite wind data indicate that the surface circulation
has become elongated and less well defined since yesterday.  Strong
upper-level winds are expected to limit the opportunity for this
system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone, and the low is
expected to degenerate into a trough ahead of an approaching frontal
system later today while it moves north-northeastward at 25 to 30
mph.  For additional information on this system, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at

Forecaster Brennan