Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Get Storm Info
   Satellite | Radar
   Aircraft Recon
   Advisory Archive
   Experimental
   Mobile Products
   E-mail Advisories
   GIS Data | RSS XML/RSS logo
   Help with Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic and E Pacific
   Forecast and
   Analysis Tools

   Help with Marine
Hurricane Awareness
   Be Prepared | Learn
   Frequent Questions
   AOML Research
   Hurricane Hunters
   Saffir-Simpson Scale
   Forecasting Models
   Eyewall Wind Profiles
   Glossary/Acronyms
   Storm Names
   Breakpoints
Hurricane History
   Seasons Archive
   Forecast Accuracy
   Climatology
   Most Extreme
About the NHC
   Mission and Vision
   Personnel | Visitors
   NHC Virtual Tour
   Library
   Joint Hurr Testbed
   The NCEP Centers
Contact UsHelp
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Marine Weather Discussion



000
AGXX40 KNHC 111744
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM N CENTRAL CUBA TO 26N90W 
AND IS RETRACTING SE AS A COLD FRONT FROM S LA TO SE TX 
CONTINUES TO PUSH SE. A FEW REPORTS OF 20 KT THIS MORNING IN 
CENTRAL WATERS SO MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AM PACKAGE. N-NE WINDS 
NW OF FRONT AT 20 KT AND GUIDANCE HAS BACKED OFF ON POSSIBILITY 
20-25 KT. SEEMS LIKE FRONT WILL STALL ALONG THE NORMAL PSN FROM 
SW FL TO CENTRAL GULF THEN S TO BAY OF CAMPECHE. NOT AS MUCH 
EVIDENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED MOISTURE BOUNDARY MOVING BACK N AS 
WARM FRONT SO DOWNPLAYED IN TEXT PRODUCT AND DROPPED MENTION OF 
FRONT ALL TOGETHER AFTER WED. SE RETURN FLOW BEGINS TO INCREASE 
NW WATERS LATE MON NIGHT AND TO 20 KT LATE TUE NIGHT. GUIDANCE 
ON NEXT FRONT SUGGESTS WEAK BOUNDARY MOVING OFF TX MIDNIGHT WED 
NIGHT BUT A BLOCKING RIDGE OVER THE E GULF WILL STALL THE FRONT 
FROM MS DELTA TO NE MEXICO.

SW N ATLC...A RIDGE LIES E-W ALONG 22N-23N AS EXPECTED. SW WINDS 
20-25 KT WELL N OF RIDGE. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NW WATERS 
AROUND SUNSET TODAY ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS TO 30 KT EITHER SID OF 
FRONT AND SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT IN NW SWELL OVER THE NE WATERS 
BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE. WINDS W OF FRONT WILL CLOCK TO SE MIDDAY 
WED OVER THE NW WATERS AS REMNANTS OF THE FRONT DRIFT SE OVER 
THE EXTREME SE WATERS. NWW3 DISSIPATES THE N SWELL TO ABOUT 7 FT 
AS IT ARRIVES N COAST PUERTO RICO FRI.  

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PERSIST 
ACROSS THE AREA S OF 17N AND W GULF OF HONDURAS. WILL CONTINUE 
PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING AND SLIGHTLY WEAKEN TRADES THIS 
WEEK. EXPECTING REMNANTS OF FRONT TO DRIFT IN NW TROPICAL ATLC 
ZONE SUNRISE THU WITH 8 FT MAX N SWELL ARRIVING THU NIGHT AND 
FRI THEN DISSIPATING TO 7 FT OR LESS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS 
ANALYZED NEAR 47W S OF 10N AND HAS BEEN MOVING AT 13 KT PAST 72 
HOURS. THIS SHOULD BRING WAVE AXIS W TO ALONG 55W MIDDAY MON AND 
INTO E CARIBBEAN LATE TUE REACHING NEAR 78W LATE FRI. MOST OF 
WIND SHIFT IS S OF 11N SO ONLY EXTREME S CARIBBEAN WATERS MAY 
SEE EFFECTS. 

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE. 

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

.FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.





Quick Navigation Links:
NHC Active Storms  -  Atlantic and E Pacific Marine  -  Storm Archives
Hurricane Awareness  -  How to Prepare  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
Tropical Prediction Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 11-May-2008 17:45:18 GMT