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Marine Weather Discussion



000
AGXX40 KNHC 061954
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1219 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NAPLES FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
STRONG TO GALE FORCE N WINDS ARE S OF 21N W OF 94W...WITH STRONG
WINDS COVER MUCH OF THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL
STALL LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE SAT...AND THE WINDS WILL DECREASE
TO BELOW GALE FORCE. A TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE SW GULF BEFORE
DISSIPATING SUN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE N GULF
LATE SUN NIGHT INTO EARLY MON. THE FRONT WILL EXTENDS FROM THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS MON AND FROM NEAR CEDAR KEY
FLORIDA TO TAMPICO MEXICO TUE.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE WARNING FORCE DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N
ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-15 FT RANGE OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA...9-13 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...7-9
FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...AND 5-7
FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
PREVAIL N OF THE AREA MAINTAINING THE AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS THROUGH SAT. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SUN AND MON WHICH WILL
DECREASE COVERAGE OF THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC DURING THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL START TO BUILD N OF THE AREA ONCE AGAIN MON NIGHT AND TUE
WHICH WILL STRENGTHEN TRADES OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND
TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N75W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA AND E OF THE AREA BY
SUN. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ALSO PREVAIL W OF THE FRONT WHILE
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT
RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...4-5 FT OVER THE NORTHERN
WATERS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. A LOW PRES SYSTEM WILL
DEVELOP OFF THE SE GEORGIA COAST MON WITH A COLD FRONT FROM 31N79W
TO CAPE CANAVERAL MON NIGHT WHERE THE FRONT WILL STALL AND WEAKEN
THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 21N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO
TONIGHT.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASI...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SUN. GALE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO TUE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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Page last modified: Friday, 06-Mar-2015 19:55:02 UTC