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Marine Weather Discussion



000
AGXX40 KNHC 271745
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL SEAS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE N GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND
STALL ALONG 28N BEFORE RETREATING N AS A WARM FRONT TONIGHT. LOW
PRES WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY BY TUE AND A SECOND COLD
FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE LOW NEAR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TO THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE TUE. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SE OF THE AREA WED
NIGHT. NLY WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT W OF THE FRONT W OF 95W TUE
NIGHT AND WED THEN DECREASE WED NIGHT. A RIDGE WILL BUILD W THU
AND HIGH PRES DEVELOPING IN THE NW GULF FRI. VISIBILITIES MAY BE
LOCALLY RESTRICTED IN SMOKE AND HAZE PRIMARILY ACROSS THE SW AND S
CENTRAL GULF AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT DUE TO AGRICULTURE FIRES.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE:  GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL SEAS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES OFFSHORE OF THE GULF OF HONDURAS
THROUGH WED. FRESH TRADES WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
AND S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY WED AND DIMINISH LATE FRI. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WED NIGHT STALL FROM CENTRAL
CUBA TO EASTERN HONDURAS THU NIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY FRI NIGHT.
NLY WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 15-20 KT WED NIGHT AND THU.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL SEAS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO N PORTION OF THE AREA TODAY AND EXTEND
ALONG 26N EARLY TUE. THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL STALL
NEAR 26N65W TUE NIGHT WHILE THE WESTERN PORTION LIFTS N ALONG THE
FLORIDA COAST AS A WARM FRONT IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT
THAT WILL MOVE INTO E PORTION OF THE AREA LATE WED. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N79W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WED NIGHT...FROM
31N68W TO CENTRAL CUBA THU NIGHT AND WEAKEN FROM 29N65W TO 21N77W
FRI NIGHT. WLY WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT W OF FRONT THU AND FRI
THEN DECREASE FRI NIGHT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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Page last modified: Monday, 27-Apr-2015 17:45:18 UTC