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Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 100647
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 AM EST WED FEB 10 2010
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W
GULF OF MEXICO...
CDFNT OVER THE EXTREME SE FL STRAITS ATTM. POST FRONTAL NLY FLOW
HAS DIMINISHED TO 20 TO 25 KT AS EXPECTED. THE FRONT LEFT
CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS OVER THE SW GULF. AS THE POST FRONTAL RIDGE
SHIFTS E A TROUGH WILL DEVELOP AND DEEPEN AS IT EXPANDS N TO
OVER THE SE TX COAST LATE TONIGHT. THE AVERAGE OF GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS LOW PRES DEVELOPMENT NEAR 27N97W THU AND MOVES THE LOW
E ACROSS CENTRAL FL FRI NIGHT AND SAT. REGARDLESS OF STRENGTH
AND PSN OF LOW AND IS ACTUAL TRACK IT WILL TRAIL A COOL FRONT TO
ITS S. SLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO AT LEAST 25 KT AHEAD
OF LOW AND ITS TRAILING FRONT AND NLY WINDS IN ITS WAKE WILL
INCREASE TO AT LEAST 30 KT....WITH MORE AGGRESSIVE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING MINIMAL GALE. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH QUICKLY
BECOMING SLY OVER THE NW GULF SAT NIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT ENTERS NW
GULF MIDDAY SUN REACHING THE E GULF WATERS LATE SUN NIGHT.
SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W...
FAIRLY NARROW FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING E TO W ALONG 21.5N
BETWEEN 55W AND 68W WILL BEGIN TO N MOVE NE TODAY IN RESPONSE TO
COLD FRONT ALONG 31N75W TO 26N80W ATTM. WINDS EXPECTED TO
RAPIDLY INCREASE TO MINIMAL GALE N OF 29N EITHER SIDE OF FRONT
SPREADING S TO ALONG 28N LATER. THE FRONT WILL RACE E TO PSN
FROM BERMUDA TO HISPANIOLA AROUND SUNSET TODAY FINALLY LOSING
ITS SE PUSH FROM 20N55W TO HISPANIOLA FRI. GALE CONDITIONS WILL
SHIFT E OF 65W THU NIGHT AND E OF 55W EARLY FRI. NLY WINDS IN
WAKE OF FRONT WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH OVER THE NW WATERS FRI THEN
RAPIDLY INCREASE AGAIN FRI NIGHT AS GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES
MOVES E ACROSS FL AND ACCELERATES NE PASSING TO THE S OF BERMUDA
SAT NIGHT. MODELS STILL VARY ON STRENGTH,TRACK AND TIMING OF
THIS LOW SO EXPECT MANY FORECAST ADJUSTMENTS IN LATER PACKAGES.
IN ANY EVENT MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT STRONG SHIFTING WINDS OVER
WATERS W OF 75W AS EARLY AS FRI NIGHT SPREADING E OF 75W SAT.
NLY WINDS AS SEAS WILL DIMINISH FROM THE W EARLY SUN WITH WINDS
LESS THAN 20 KT ENTIRE AREA W OF 65W LATE SUN.
CARIBBEAN...
CDFNT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL ATTM EXPECTED TO HANG UP FROM WINDWARD
PASSAGE TO EASTERN GULF OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND THU. REMNANTS
WILL DRIFT NW OVER GULF OF HONDURAS THU AND OVER THE NW WATERS
THU NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF NEXT CDFNT YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND SUNSET
FRI LOSING IDENTITY SAT NIGHT FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO HONDURAS.
NLY WINDS TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT WILL DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 KT
MIDDAY SUN.
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
.AMZ080...GALE WARNING N OF 28N EITHER SIDE OF FRONT.
CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
FORECASTER NELSON
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