000 AGXX40 KNHC 100647 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 AM EST WED FEB 10 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... CDFNT OVER THE EXTREME SE FL STRAITS ATTM. POST FRONTAL NLY FLOW HAS DIMINISHED TO 20 TO 25 KT AS EXPECTED. THE FRONT LEFT CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS OVER THE SW GULF. AS THE POST FRONTAL RIDGE SHIFTS E A TROUGH WILL DEVELOP AND DEEPEN AS IT EXPANDS N TO OVER THE SE TX COAST LATE TONIGHT. THE AVERAGE OF GUIDANCE SUGGESTS LOW PRES DEVELOPMENT NEAR 27N97W THU AND MOVES THE LOW E ACROSS CENTRAL FL FRI NIGHT AND SAT. REGARDLESS OF STRENGTH AND PSN OF LOW AND IS ACTUAL TRACK IT WILL TRAIL A COOL FRONT TO ITS S. SLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO AT LEAST 25 KT AHEAD OF LOW AND ITS TRAILING FRONT AND NLY WINDS IN ITS WAKE WILL INCREASE TO AT LEAST 30 KT....WITH MORE AGGRESSIVE GUIDANCE SUGGESTING MINIMAL GALE. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH QUICKLY BECOMING SLY OVER THE NW GULF SAT NIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT ENTERS NW GULF MIDDAY SUN REACHING THE E GULF WATERS LATE SUN NIGHT. SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W... FAIRLY NARROW FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING E TO W ALONG 21.5N BETWEEN 55W AND 68W WILL BEGIN TO N MOVE NE TODAY IN RESPONSE TO COLD FRONT ALONG 31N75W TO 26N80W ATTM. WINDS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE TO MINIMAL GALE N OF 29N EITHER SIDE OF FRONT SPREADING S TO ALONG 28N LATER. THE FRONT WILL RACE E TO PSN FROM BERMUDA TO HISPANIOLA AROUND SUNSET TODAY FINALLY LOSING ITS SE PUSH FROM 20N55W TO HISPANIOLA FRI. GALE CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT E OF 65W THU NIGHT AND E OF 55W EARLY FRI. NLY WINDS IN WAKE OF FRONT WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH OVER THE NW WATERS FRI THEN RAPIDLY INCREASE AGAIN FRI NIGHT AS GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES MOVES E ACROSS FL AND ACCELERATES NE PASSING TO THE S OF BERMUDA SAT NIGHT. MODELS STILL VARY ON STRENGTH,TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS LOW SO EXPECT MANY FORECAST ADJUSTMENTS IN LATER PACKAGES. IN ANY EVENT MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT STRONG SHIFTING WINDS OVER WATERS W OF 75W AS EARLY AS FRI NIGHT SPREADING E OF 75W SAT. NLY WINDS AS SEAS WILL DIMINISH FROM THE W EARLY SUN WITH WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT ENTIRE AREA W OF 65W LATE SUN. CARIBBEAN... CDFNT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL ATTM EXPECTED TO HANG UP FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO EASTERN GULF OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND THU. REMNANTS WILL DRIFT NW OVER GULF OF HONDURAS THU AND OVER THE NW WATERS THU NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF NEXT CDFNT YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND SUNSET FRI LOSING IDENTITY SAT NIGHT FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO HONDURAS. NLY WINDS TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT WILL DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 KT MIDDAY SUN. WARNINGS... ATLC... .AMZ080...GALE WARNING N OF 28N EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON
Get Storm Info
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Advisory Archive -
Mobile Products -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds -
About NHC Products
Tropical Analysis and Forecasting
Atlantic Products -
E Pac Products -
About TAFB Products
Learn About Hurricanes
Hurricane Awareness -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division -
Hurricane Hunters -
The Saffir-Simpson-Hurricane Scale -
Forecasting Models -
Inland Wind Model -
Eyewall Wind-Profiles -
TPC Glossary -
TPC Acronyms -
Storm Names
Breakpoints
Hurricane History
NHC/TPC Archives -
Forecast Verification -
Climatology -
1492-1996 (Atlantic) -
1900-2000 (USA) -
Most Expensive -
Most Intense -
US Strikes by Decade -
US Strikes by State
About Us
About the TPC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
TPC Personnel -
NOAA Locator -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library -
WX4NHC Amateur Radio Station
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
Tropical Prediction Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Wednesday, 10-Feb-2010 06:40:05 GMT