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Marine Weather Discussion (Text)



000
AGXX40 KNHC 281811
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
211 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

-----------------------------------------------------------------
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT FROM THE NE GULF TO THE SE
GULF TODAY WHERE IT WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS SHIFT WILL BE DUE TO
A SERIES OF PRE-FRONTAL TROUGHS WHICH WILL MANAGE TO SAG S INTO
THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF AHEAD OF WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WHICH ARE
FORECAST TO LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THE TROUGHS WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR
CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. OTHERWISE THERMAL TROUGHING
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING EACH
EVENING...SHIFTING OFFSHORE AND INTO THE SW GULF WHERE DISSIPATION
WILL OCCUR DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS WILL PREVAIL ALONG WITH SEAS OF 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 2-4 FT
IN THE SW GULF WITH PULSING WINDS TO 20 KT AHEAD OF EACH THERMAL
TROUGH.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W
AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES RIDGE ACROSS THE SW N ATLC COMBINED WITH
LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG
TRADES ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...PULSING TO
30 KT NEAR THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA AND IN THE GULF OF VENEZUELA
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  GENERALLY MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH TRADES WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.  A RELATIVELY STRONG
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC BY THE END OF THE
WEEK BRINGING GUSTY CONDITIONS TO THE E CARIBBEAN ISLANDS INTO THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. SEAS WILL BE MAINLY 7-11 FT IN THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND 4-7 FT ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT 3-5 FT IN THE NW
CARIBBEAN.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

AN ATLC RIDGE WILL PERSIST FROM E TO W ACROSS THE
NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.  EXPECT GENTLE TO MODERATE RETURN FLOW AROUND
THE RIDGING...EXCEPT MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TO THE S OF 22N
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND UPCOMING WEEKEND. COMBINED
SEAS OF 3-5 FT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BASIN... EXCEPT 2 FT OR
LESS INSIDE THE BAHAMAS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL/LEWITSKY/LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 28-Jun-2016 18:12:09 UTC