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High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific)



000
FZPN03 KNHC 280904
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC THU MAY 28 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU MAY 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI MAY 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT MAY 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E NEAR 11.0N 110.4W 1005 MB AT 0900  
UTC MAY 28 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ONE-E NEAR 11.7N 111.5W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS..AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO 
FROM 94W TO 102W. 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
390 NM E AND WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ONE-E NEAR 12.6N 112.8W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 420 NM E AND WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ONE-E NEAR 14.2N 114.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
WITHIN 270 NM NE AND WITHIN 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM SE AND WITHIN 360 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ONE-E NEAR 16.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ONE-E NEAR 17.5N 116.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ONE-E NEAR 19.0N 117.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 08N123W 1009 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 120W AND  
126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 09N124W 1009 MB. FROM 11N TO  
14N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.LOW PRES 11N133W 1009 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N136W 1010 MB. WITHIN 270 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN A BROAD MIX 
OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 09N139W 1008 MB. FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.FROM 09N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC THU MAY 28...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 
30 NM OF CENTER AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 12N112W TO 
11N113W. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 
15N107W TO 10N115W AND WITHIN 290 NM OVER SE QUADRANT. 

.TROUGH FROM 07N77W TO 06N91W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED  
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF EL 
SALVADOR. 

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 04N TO 14N ALONG 98W...ISOLATED MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF WAVE AXIS AT 09N.

.LOW PRES 08N123W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM OF LINE FROM 12N124W TO 00N129W.

.LOW PRES 11N133W...ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ ARE NOT NOTED. 

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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Page last modified: Thursday, 28-May-2015 09:04:57 UTC