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High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific)



000
FZPN03 KNHC 162102
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL            
2230 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 13.2N 100.4W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
16 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N AND 
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM 
W SEMICIRCLE...270 NM NE AND WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND SE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF EPAC WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 19N110W 
TO 03.4S80W TO 03.4S115W TO 19N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 15.7N 103.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND WITHIN 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 95W AND 107W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 17.8N 106.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM SE AND WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE FROM 
20N109W TO 14N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY 
IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 19.5N 108.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 21.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 22.5N 113.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ODILE NEAR 29.1N 113.5W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
16 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW AND WITHIN 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
ELSEWHERE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 27N TO 30.5N WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE EPAC FROM 26N TO 29N WITHIN 90 NM 
OF BAJA PENINSULA W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE INLAND NEAR 31.0N 
112.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA N OF 29N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ODILE NEAR 33.2N 
111.4W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N136W TO 26N140W. N OF 28N WITHIN 240 NM E OF 
FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N140W TO 30N131W TO 26N140W TO 30N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N132W TO 24N140W. 
W OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 28N128W TO 24N140W. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE SEP 16...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM OF LINE FROM 16N99W TO 08.5N103W. 

.TROPICAL STORM ODILE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N82W TO 11N93W...RESUMES FROM 14N104W
TO 10N126W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF
10N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 13N107W AND WITHIN
45 NM OF LINES FROM 12N111W TO11.5N118W AND FROM 10N123W TO 09N120W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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Page last modified: Tuesday, 16-Sep-2014 21:02:11 UTC