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High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific)



000
FZPN03 KNHC 032106
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 05.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 18.7N 115.8W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
03 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN AREA BOUND BY LINE 10N123W TO 16N117W TO 
16N111W TO 10N112W TO 10N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 21.2N 115.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA BOUND BY LINE 10N127W TO 20N120W TO 20N112W TO 
10N104W TO 10N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 22.3N 117.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 
NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUND BY LINE 10N124W TO 22N120W TO 
22N114W TO 10N98W TO 10N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 22.5N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 22.5N 
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...NO MORE TCM FCST INFO ==> VERIFY WITH TCM.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.HURRICANE JIMENA W OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 
25N W OF 137W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 10N TO 28N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JIMENA W OF AREA. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 138W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 
11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JIMENA W OF AREA. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS FROM 18N TO 26N W OF 139W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 
11 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF LINE 11N140W TO 
30N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.S OF LINE FROM 03N133W TO 10N123W TO 10N112W TO 03.4S95W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 05N123W TO 10N127W TO 10N104W 
TO  03.4S89W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW 
AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 124W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU SEP 3..

.TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 16N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 04N E OF 82W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N85W TO 09N90W TO 11N97W TO 10N105W TO 
12N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 91W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 99W AND 110W. 

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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Page last modified: Thursday, 03-Sep-2015 21:06:28 UTC