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High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific) (Text)



000
FZPN03 KNHC 271523
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE IGNACIO NEAR 12.9N 139.5W 982 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 27 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 
120NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 10N TO 16N W OF 135W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGNACIO NEAR 14.5N 143.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 
NM N AND 180NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 19N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGNACIO NEAR 16.1N 146.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGNACIO NEAR 17.5N 149.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGNACIO NEAR 19.0N 151.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGNACIO NEAR 20.5N 154.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JIMENA NEAR 12.6N 117.7W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
27 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 13.0N 122.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 13.1N 126.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 13.9N 129.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 15.5N 134.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 17.0N 137.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96.5W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 15.5N96W TO 14N96W 
TO 13N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 112W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC THU AUG 26...

.HURRICANE IGNACIO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.  
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 10N W 
OF 128W...AND FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. 

.TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 115W AND 120W. REMAINDER OF AREA SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 09N94W TO 08N108W. NO 
ITCZ IS PRESENTLY IDENTIFIED. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 10N 
BETWEEN 88W AND 100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 08N 
BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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Page last modified: Thursday, 27-Aug-2015 15:23:35 UTC