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High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific) (Text)



000
FZPN03 KNHC 021535
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 17.5N 106.5W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC 
SEP 02 MOVING N NE OR 020 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 104W AND 115W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 19.3N 108.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 103W AND 114W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 20.1N 110.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM 
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N 
TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 112W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 21.8N 112.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 23.0N 115.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 23.5N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.S OF 01N BETWEEN 110W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 00N136W TO 07N120W TO 03.4S100W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 00N130W TO 07N120W TO 03.4S90W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1415 UTC TUE SEP 02...

.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT....NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE REMAINDER AREA FROM 12N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 101W AND 113W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF 
MAINLAND MEXICO FROM 21N TO 25N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N78W TO 08N96W TO 14N101W...THEN 
CONTINUES FROM 16N112W TO 10N136W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 10N136W TO 
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG OVER FORECAST AREA WITHIN 
240 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 88W AND WITHIN 
210 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 
90 NM AND 270 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 123W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 02-Sep-2014 15:35:21 UTC