Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112010
200 AM PDT SAT SEP 04 2010
 
MEXICAN RADAR DATA FROM PUERTO ANGEL INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF
THE DEPRESSION MOVED INLAND EAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO BETWEEN
0600-0700 UTC. PRIOR TO MOVING INLAND...INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWED THAT THE DEPRESSION WAS MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED CURVED
BAND TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...
MEXICAN RADAR DATA INDICATED AN INCREASE IN THE CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE...AND A 0403 UTC TRMM OVERPASS INDICATED A
PARTIAL CLOSED RING OF CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE CENTER. THESE
OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE DEPRESSION MAY HAVE BEEN CLOSE TO
TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY AROUND THE TIME OF LANDFALL. HOWEVER...
DVORAK T-NUMBERS WERE AT 1.5/25 KT AND 2.0/30 KT FROM SAB AND
TAFB... RESPECTIVELY...AT 0600 UTC AND THE 3-HOURLY AVERAGED ADT
WAS 2.4/34 KT FROM UW-CIMSS.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING HELD AT
30 KT NOW THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS MOVED INLAND.
 
CENTER FIXES YIELD AN INITIAL MOTION...320/7...TO THE RIGHT
AND SOMEWHAT FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ESTIMATE. DYNAMICAL MODELS
SHOW THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION BEING STEERED NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS BY THE FLOW ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS.  THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST SHOWS
THE DEPRESSION MOVING FARTHER INLAND AND DISSIPATING OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      04/0900Z 16.4N  95.4W    30 KT...INLAND
 12HR VT     04/1800Z 17.2N  95.7W    25 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     05/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 15-Apr-2011 12:09:34 UTC