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Tropical Storm FAUSTO


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
800 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2008
 
DESPITE BEING OVER 23.5 DEGREE CELSIUS SSTS...FAUSTO IS HOLDING ITS
OWN...FOR NOW.  LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NEW BURST
OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER.  BASED ON THIS TREND...THE
INITIAL ADVISORY IS HELD AT 60 KT.  GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK OVER
PROGRESSIVE COOLER WATERS...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
LATER TONIGHT.  IN FACT...FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT
LOW IN ABOUT 2 DAYS...IF NOT SOONER. 
 
FAUSTO IS MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER THAN BEFORE WITH AN INITIAL MOTION
ESTIMATE OF 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT. AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS...IT WILL
BECOME A MORE SHALLOW SYSTEM AND BE STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW.
THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS ONE. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      22/0300Z 21.2N 118.9W    60 KT
 12HR VT     22/1200Z 21.6N 120.3W    50 KT
 24HR VT     23/0000Z 21.9N 122.1W    40 KT
 36HR VT     23/1200Z 22.4N 123.8W    30 KT
 48HR VT     24/0000Z 22.8N 125.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     25/0000Z 23.5N 128.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:36 UTC