ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008 800 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2008 DESPITE BEING OVER 23.5 DEGREE CELSIUS SSTS...FAUSTO IS HOLDING ITS OWN...FOR NOW. LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NEW BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS TREND...THE INITIAL ADVISORY IS HELD AT 60 KT. GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK OVER PROGRESSIVE COOLER WATERS...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT. IN FACT...FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 2 DAYS...IF NOT SOONER. FAUSTO IS MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER THAN BEFORE WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT. AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS...IT WILL BECOME A MORE SHALLOW SYSTEM AND BE STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 21.2N 118.9W 60 KT 12HR VT 22/1200Z 21.6N 120.3W 50 KT 24HR VT 23/0000Z 21.9N 122.1W 40 KT 36HR VT 23/1200Z 22.4N 123.8W 30 KT 48HR VT 24/0000Z 22.8N 125.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 25/0000Z 23.5N 128.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER RHOME NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:36 UTC