Hurricane HENRIETTE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
0900 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 85 10(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 28 28(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 4 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 84 12(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 24 33(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 2 13(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
LA PAZ 34 20 58(78) 4(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
LA PAZ 50 X 26(26) 4(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
LA PAZ 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LORETO 34 3 13(16) 25(41) 7(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50)
LORETO 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
LORETO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20)
BAHIA KINO 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUAYMAS 34 X 4( 4) 19(23) 14(37) 4(41) X(41) X(41)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HUATABAMPO 34 2 13(15) 26(41) 7(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
HUATABAMPO 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
LOS MOCHIS 34 3 25(28) 15(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CULICAN 34 8 43(51) 6(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
CULICAN 50 X 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MAZATLAN 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAN BLAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 225N 1096W 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 225N 1096W 50 58 14(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
12 225N 1096W 64 15 7(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
24 245N 1102W 34 12 61(73) 6(79) 1(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81)
24 245N 1102W 50 X 24(24) 6(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
24 245N 1102W 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 264N 1106W 34 3 18(21) 30(51) 7(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
36 264N 1106W 50 X 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
36 264N 1106W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 284N 1104W 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 15(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34)
48 284N 1104W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 284N 1104W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 310N 1090W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 310N 1090W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 310N 1090W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 65 45 20 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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