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Hurricane HENRIETTE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
0900 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 85  10(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 28  28(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  4   9(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34 84  12(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
SAN JOSE CABO  50 24  33(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  2  13(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
LA PAZ         34 20  58(78)   4(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
LA PAZ         50  X  26(26)   4(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
LA PAZ         64  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LORETO         34  3  13(16)  25(41)   7(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)
LORETO         50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  10(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   9(16)   5(21)   X(21)   X(21)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   4( 4)  19(23)  14(37)   4(41)   X(41)   X(41)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  2  13(15)  26(41)   7(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  3  25(28)  15(43)   2(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CULICAN        34  8  43(51)   6(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
CULICAN        50  X   8( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MAZATLAN       34  4   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAN BLAS       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P VALLARTA     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 225N 1096W 34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 225N 1096W 50 58  14(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 12 225N 1096W 64 15   7(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 24 245N 1102W 34 12  61(73)   6(79)   1(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 24 245N 1102W 50  X  24(24)   6(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 24 245N 1102W 64  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 36 264N 1106W 34  3  18(21)  30(51)   7(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 36 264N 1106W 50  X   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 264N 1106W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 284N 1104W 34  X   3( 3)  13(16)  15(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 48 284N 1104W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 48 284N 1104W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 310N 1090W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 310N 1090W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 72 310N 1090W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     65      65      45      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC