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Tropical Storm DALILA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
2100 UTC TUE JUL 24 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34 14  47(61)  10(71)   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  2  16(18)   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   7(15)   5(20)   X(20)   1(21)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 182N 1107W 34 54  26(80)   5(85)   X(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 12 182N 1107W 50 17  10(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 12 182N 1107W 64  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 24 190N 1114W 34  5  48(53)  17(70)   2(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 24 190N 1114W 50  X  16(16)   8(24)   1(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 24 190N 1114W 64  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 36 198N 1126W 34  X  13(13)  37(50)  10(60)   3(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 36 198N 1126W 50  X   2( 2)  15(17)   4(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 198N 1126W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 205N 1138W 34  X   2( 2)  22(24)  17(41)   8(49)   X(49)   1(50)
 48 205N 1138W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 48 205N 1138W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 218N 1165W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  15(21)   3(24)   X(24)
 72 218N 1165W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 72 218N 1165W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 228N 1193W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
 96 228N 1193W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 228N 1193W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 236N 1221W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
120 236N 1221W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 236N 1221W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     55     55      60      55      45      30      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BANN                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:59 UTC