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TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007
2100 UTC TUE JUL 24 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 14 47(61) 10(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 2 16(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 5(20) X(20) 1(21)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 182N 1107W 34 54 26(80) 5(85) X(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86)
12 182N 1107W 50 17 10(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
12 182N 1107W 64 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 190N 1114W 34 5 48(53) 17(70) 2(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73)
24 190N 1114W 50 X 16(16) 8(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
24 190N 1114W 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 198N 1126W 34 X 13(13) 37(50) 10(60) 3(63) X(63) X(63)
36 198N 1126W 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) 4(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
36 198N 1126W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 205N 1138W 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 17(41) 8(49) X(49) 1(50)
48 205N 1138W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15)
48 205N 1138W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 218N 1165W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 3(24) X(24)
72 218N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 218N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 228N 1193W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
96 228N 1193W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 228N 1193W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 236N 1221W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 236N 1221W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 236N 1221W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 55 60 55 45 30 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BANN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:59 UTC