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Subtropical Storm OLGA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007               
2100 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GRAND TURK     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X  11(11)   4(15)   X(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LES CAYES      34  1  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 15  13(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34 64   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34 87   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 185N  714W 34 31   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 12 185N  714W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 185N  714W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 186N  745W 34  X  14(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 24 186N  745W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 186N  745W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 189N  778W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 189N  778W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 189N  778W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 192N  805W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 192N  805W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 192N  805W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 195N  830W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 195N  830W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 195N  830W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      25      25      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 12-Dec-2007 19:17:11 UTC