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SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
2100 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND TURK 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 11(11) 4(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KINGSTON 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LES CAYES 34 1 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 15 13(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
CAPE BEATA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PUERTO PLATA 34 64 X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 185N 714W 34 31 3(34) X(34) X(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
12 185N 714W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 185N 714W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 186N 745W 34 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
24 186N 745W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 186N 745W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 189N 778W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
36 189N 778W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 189N 778W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 192N 805W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 192N 805W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 192N 805W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 195N 830W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 195N 830W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 195N 830W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 25 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 12-Dec-2007 19:17:11 UTC