Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Subtropical Storm GABRIELLE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072007               
0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)   1(15)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   6(17)   1(18)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   4(12)   X(12)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)   1(16)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   2(14)   X(14)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)  11(19)   2(21)   X(21)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   9(18)   1(19)   X(19)
DOVER DE       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   6(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  12(18)  13(31)   2(33)   X(33)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   9(19)   5(24)   X(24)   X(24)
RICHMOND VA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   7( 7)  14(21)  15(36)   6(42)   1(43)   X(43)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   7( 7)   9(16)   7(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
RALEIGH NC     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  4  23(27)  22(49)  10(59)   3(62)   1(63)   X(63)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   9(18)   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  5  34(39)  23(62)   6(68)   2(70)   X(70)   X(70)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   4( 4)  12(16)   7(23)   1(24)   X(24)   1(25)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  3  26(29)  20(49)   5(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  1  14(15)  14(29)   5(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  1   3( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 318N  749W 34 83   4(87)   1(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 318N  749W 50 10   8(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 12 318N  749W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 331N  762W 34 32  41(73)   7(80)   2(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
 24 331N  762W 50  1  18(19)   9(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 24 331N  762W 64  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 36 345N  766W 34  6  38(44)  22(66)   5(71)   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 36 345N  766W 50  X   5( 5)  14(19)   6(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 36 345N  766W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 48 360N  755W 34  2  15(17)  18(35)  16(51)   5(56)   1(57)   X(57)
 48 360N  755W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 48 360N  755W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 385N  710W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  23(30)   8(38)   X(38)
 72 385N  710W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)   1(13)
 72 385N  710W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 410N  620W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   7(23)
 96 410N  620W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 96 410N  620W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 450N  500W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
120 450N  500W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
120 450N  500W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      55      55      50      45      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:46 UTC