ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 1(15)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) 1(18)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) X(12)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) 1(16)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) X(14)
NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) X(13)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 11(19) 2(21) X(21)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 9(18) 1(19) X(19)
DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 12(18) 13(31) 2(33) X(33)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 9(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 7( 7) 14(21) 15(36) 6(42) 1(43) X(43)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 7( 7) 9(16) 7(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 4 23(27) 22(49) 10(59) 3(62) 1(63) X(63)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 5 34(39) 23(62) 6(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4( 4) 12(16) 7(23) 1(24) X(24) 1(25)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 3 26(29) 20(49) 5(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 14(15) 14(29) 5(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 318N 749W 34 83 4(87) 1(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
12 318N 749W 50 10 8(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
12 318N 749W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 331N 762W 34 32 41(73) 7(80) 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
24 331N 762W 50 1 18(19) 9(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 331N 762W 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 345N 766W 34 6 38(44) 22(66) 5(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73)
36 345N 766W 50 X 5( 5) 14(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
36 345N 766W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 360N 755W 34 2 15(17) 18(35) 16(51) 5(56) 1(57) X(57)
48 360N 755W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
48 360N 755W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 385N 710W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 23(30) 8(38) X(38)
72 385N 710W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) 1(13)
72 385N 710W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 410N 620W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 7(23)
96 410N 620W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
96 410N 620W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
120 450N 500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
120 450N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 450N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 50 55 55 50 45 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:46 UTC