Tropical Storm NORMAN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152006
2100 UTC MON OCT 09 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 169N 1181W 34 73 4(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
12 169N 1181W 50 11 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
12 169N 1181W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 177N 1180W 34 40 19(59) 3(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
24 177N 1180W 50 2 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13)
24 177N 1180W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 186N 1178W 34 7 21(28) 9(37) 4(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
36 186N 1178W 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10)
36 186N 1178W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 195N 1172W 34 1 7( 8) 10(18) 7(25) 3(28) X(28) 1(29)
48 195N 1172W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
48 195N 1172W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 210N 1155W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 1(13) 1(14)
72 210N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 210N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 1135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
96 225N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 240N 1115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
120 240N 1115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 240N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 45 40 35 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
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