ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152006 2100 UTC MON OCT 09 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 169N 1181W 34 73 4(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 12 169N 1181W 50 11 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 12 169N 1181W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 177N 1180W 34 40 19(59) 3(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 177N 1180W 50 2 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) 24 177N 1180W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 186N 1178W 34 7 21(28) 9(37) 4(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) 36 186N 1178W 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) 36 186N 1178W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 195N 1172W 34 1 7( 8) 10(18) 7(25) 3(28) X(28) 1(29) 48 195N 1172W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 48 195N 1172W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 210N 1155W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 1(13) 1(14) 72 210N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 210N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 1135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 96 225N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 240N 1115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 120 240N 1115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 240N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 40 35 25 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 09-Oct-2006 20:40:03 UTC