Hurricane ILEANA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006
0900 UTC THU AUG 24 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 16 3(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22) 1(23) X(23)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 205N 1153W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 205N 1153W 50 85 7(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
12 205N 1153W 64 48 14(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
24 213N 1166W 34 52 36(88) 2(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92)
24 213N 1166W 50 8 50(58) 4(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
24 213N 1166W 64 2 26(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
36 218N 1175W 34 9 53(62) 10(72) 3(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76)
36 218N 1175W 50 1 25(26) 12(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
36 218N 1175W 64 X 8( 8) 8(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
48 222N 1186W 34 2 23(25) 20(45) 7(52) 3(55) 1(56) X(56)
48 222N 1186W 50 X 5( 5) 9(14) 6(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
48 222N 1186W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 225N 1201W 34 1 6( 7) 10(17) 9(26) 6(32) 1(33) 1(34)
72 225N 1201W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
72 225N 1201W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 225N 1215W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 5(15) 1(16) X(16)
96 225N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
96 225N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 1230W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
120 225N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 85 65 55 40 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FIORINO/AVILA
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