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Hurricane ILEANA (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102006               
0900 UTC THU AUG 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA CLARION   34 16   3(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)   1(23)   X(23)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 205N 1153W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 205N 1153W 50 85   7(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 205N 1153W 64 48  14(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
 24 213N 1166W 34 52  36(88)   2(90)   1(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 213N 1166W 50  8  50(58)   4(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 24 213N 1166W 64  2  26(28)   5(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
 36 218N 1175W 34  9  53(62)  10(72)   3(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 36 218N 1175W 50  1  25(26)  12(38)   3(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 36 218N 1175W 64  X   8( 8)   8(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 48 222N 1186W 34  2  23(25)  20(45)   7(52)   3(55)   1(56)   X(56)
 48 222N 1186W 50  X   5( 5)   9(14)   6(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 48 222N 1186W 64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 225N 1201W 34  1   6( 7)  10(17)   9(26)   6(32)   1(33)   1(34)
 72 225N 1201W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 72 225N 1201W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 225N 1215W 34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   5(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 96 225N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 96 225N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 225N 1230W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
120 225N 1230W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 225N 1230W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     85      65      55      40      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FIORINO/AVILA                                          
                                                                    
                                                                    
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