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Tropical Depression ALETTA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006               
0300Z TUE MAY 30 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
L CARDENAS     34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 159N 1028W 34 17   8(25)   2(27)   X(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 12 159N 1028W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 159N 1028W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 158N 1037W 34  6  12(18)   4(22)   2(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 24 158N 1037W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 24 158N 1037W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 157N 1045W 34  1   8( 9)   6(15)   4(19)   1(20)   X(20)   1(21)
 36 157N 1045W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 157N 1045W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 156N 1056W 34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   6(14)   3(17)   X(17)   1(18)
 48 156N 1056W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 48 156N 1056W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 155N 1075W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   1(11)
 72 155N 1075W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 155N 1075W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 155N 1095W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 96 155N 1095W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 155N 1095W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 155N 1115W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
120 155N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 155N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      20      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC