ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006 0300Z TUE MAY 30 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 159N 1028W 34 17 8(25) 2(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) 12 159N 1028W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 159N 1028W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 158N 1037W 34 6 12(18) 4(22) 2(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) 24 158N 1037W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 24 158N 1037W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 157N 1045W 34 1 8( 9) 6(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20) 1(21) 36 157N 1045W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 157N 1045W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 156N 1056W 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) 3(17) X(17) 1(18) 48 156N 1056W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 48 156N 1056W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 155N 1075W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 72 155N 1075W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 155N 1075W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 155N 1095W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 96 155N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 155N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 155N 1115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 155N 1115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 155N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER PASCH $$ NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC