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Tropical Storm HELENE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 141N  370W 34 61   9(70)   X(70)   X(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 12 141N  370W 50  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 141N  370W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 152N  396W 34  2  61(63)   9(72)   2(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 152N  396W 50  X  15(15)  10(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   1(27)
 24 152N  396W 64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 36 165N  416W 34  X  17(17)  42(59)   9(68)   5(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 36 165N  416W 50  X   1( 1)  21(22)   9(31)   2(33)   1(34)   X(34)
 36 165N  416W 64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   1(12)
 
 48 178N  430W 34  X   3( 3)  29(32)  23(55)  12(67)   1(68)   1(69)
 48 178N  430W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  17(23)   8(31)   2(33)   1(34)
 48 178N  430W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   1(14)
 
 
 72 200N  455W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)  30(47)   9(56)   2(58)
 72 200N  455W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   6(26)   2(28)
 72 200N  455W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   4(14)   1(15)
 
 
 96 220N  485W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  20(37)   8(45)
 96 220N  485W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   3(19)
 96 220N  485W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)
 
 
120 240N  510W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)  12(32)
120 240N  510W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   7(15)
120 240N  510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     50      60      70      80      85      85
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Thursday, 14-Sep-2006 08:55:01 UTC