ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 141N 370W 34 61 9(70) X(70) X(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) 12 141N 370W 50 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 12 141N 370W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 152N 396W 34 2 61(63) 9(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 24 152N 396W 50 X 15(15) 10(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 1(27) 24 152N 396W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 36 165N 416W 34 X 17(17) 42(59) 9(68) 5(73) X(73) X(73) 36 165N 416W 50 X 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) 2(33) 1(34) X(34) 36 165N 416W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) 1(12) 48 178N 430W 34 X 3( 3) 29(32) 23(55) 12(67) 1(68) 1(69) 48 178N 430W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 8(31) 2(33) 1(34) 48 178N 430W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14) 72 200N 455W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 30(47) 9(56) 2(58) 72 200N 455W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 6(26) 2(28) 72 200N 455W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) 96 220N 485W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 20(37) 8(45) 96 220N 485W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 3(19) 96 220N 485W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 120 240N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 12(32) 120 240N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 120 240N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 50 60 70 80 85 85 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 14-Sep-2006 08:55:01 UTC