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Tropical Storm DEBBY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
2100 UTC THU AUG 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 223N  419W 34 54  12(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 12 223N  419W 50  9   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 12 223N  419W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 238N  449W 34  1  42(43)  12(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 238N  449W 50  X   9( 9)   6(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 24 238N  449W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 254N  474W 34  X   3( 3)  40(43)   9(52)   3(55)   1(56)   X(56)
 36 254N  474W 50  X   X( X)  12(12)   7(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 254N  474W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 271N  495W 34  X   X( X)  12(12)  28(40)  11(51)   2(53)   X(53)
 48 271N  495W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 48 271N  495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 309N  513W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  29(36)  13(49)   1(50)
 72 309N  513W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   5(18)   1(19)
 72 309N  513W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
 
 96 350N  490W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  25(33)   9(42)
 96 350N  490W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   3(15)
 96 350N  490W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 
 
120 401N  440W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  17(25)
120 401N  440W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
120 401N  440W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     45      50      55      55      65      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC