ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 2100 UTC THU AUG 24 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 223N 419W 34 54 12(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) 12 223N 419W 50 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 12 223N 419W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 238N 449W 34 1 42(43) 12(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 24 238N 449W 50 X 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 24 238N 449W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 254N 474W 34 X 3( 3) 40(43) 9(52) 3(55) 1(56) X(56) 36 254N 474W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 7(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) 36 254N 474W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 271N 495W 34 X X( X) 12(12) 28(40) 11(51) 2(53) X(53) 48 271N 495W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21) 48 271N 495W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 72 309N 513W 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 29(36) 13(49) 1(50) 72 309N 513W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 1(19) 72 309N 513W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 96 350N 490W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 25(33) 9(42) 96 350N 490W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 96 350N 490W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 120 401N 440W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) 120 401N 440W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 120 401N 440W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 50 55 55 65 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC