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Tropical Storm ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
1500Z MON JUN 12 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
 
HARTFORD CO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   1(12)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   7(14)   2(16)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   1(12)
RICHMOND VA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   6(18)   1(19)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   2(13)   X(13)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   3(17)   X(17)
RALEIGH NC     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   7(28)   1(29)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   9(14)   1(15)   X(15)
CHARLOTTE NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  22(24)   5(29)   1(30)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  23(28)   2(30)   X(30)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)
WILMINGTON NC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)  11(24)   1(25)   X(25)
COLUMBIA SC    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)  21(32)   2(34)   X(34)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)  10(12)   1(13)   X(13)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  12(22)  17(39)   1(40)   X(40)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   8(13)   X(13)   X(13)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   2( 2)  12(14)   7(21)   8(29)   1(30)   X(30)
AUGUSTA GA     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  1   6( 7)  19(26)  12(38)   8(46)   1(47)   X(47)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
SAVANNAH GA    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  6  20(26)  25(51)   7(58)   3(61)   X(61)   X(61)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   1( 1)  12(13)   7(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
JACKSONVILLE   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  7  18(25)  15(40)   4(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
DAYTONA BEACH  64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ORLANDO FL     34 13  18(31)  12(43)   2(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  5  12(17)  10(27)   2(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  5   7(12)   7(19)   1(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  3   5( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
MIAMI FL       34  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MARATHON FL    34  3   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34 12   7(19)   4(23)   X(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
FT MYERS FL    34 19  10(29)   5(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
VENICE FL      34 41  12(53)   3(56)   X(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)
VENICE FL      50  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
TAMPA FL       34 46  17(63)   6(69)   2(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
TAMPA FL       50  3  11(14)   6(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
TAMPA FL       64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 52  22(74)   8(82)   3(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  4  25(29)  14(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   5( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 19  30(49)  15(64)   2(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  1  14(15)  17(32)   2(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 29  30(59)  13(72)   3(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)
ST MARKS FL    50  1  22(23)  18(41)   2(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)
ST MARKS FL    64  X   3( 3)   9(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 44  22(66)   6(72)   1(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)
APALACHICOLA   50  5  27(32)  10(42)   2(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   6( 6)   6(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 76  10(86)   2(88)   X(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 36  26(62)   4(66)   X(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  2  16(18)   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 21  21(42)   9(51)   1(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  2  12(14)   7(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  1   5( 6)  11(17)   3(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  2   3( 5)   6(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  4   7(11)   6(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
PENSACOLA FL   50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 13  10(23)   5(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOBILE AL      34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  3   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BURAS LA       34  3   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 276N  855W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 276N  855W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 276N  855W 64 24  10(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 24 288N  846W 34 85   9(94)   2(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 288N  846W 50 46  26(72)   3(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 24 288N  846W 64  4  20(24)   5(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 36 300N  836W 34 34  31(65)  12(77)   2(79)   2(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 36 300N  836W 50  2  24(26)  20(46)   2(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 36 300N  836W 64  X   3( 3)  10(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
 48 320N  820W 34  1  10(11)  22(33)   9(42)   7(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 48 320N  820W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 320N  820W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 345N  775W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  22(26)   3(29)   1(30)
 72 345N  775W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 72 345N  775W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 380N  700W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)   5(21)
 96 380N  700W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 96 380N  700W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 450N  600W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
120 450N  600W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
120 450N  600W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     65      60      30      30      40      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC