ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1500Z MON JUN 12 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) HARTFORD CO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) 2(16) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) 1(19) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 2(13) X(13) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 3(17) X(17) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 7(28) 1(29) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 9(14) 1(15) X(15) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 5(29) 1(30) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 23(28) 2(30) X(30) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 11(24) 1(25) X(25) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 21(32) 2(34) X(34) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 12(22) 17(39) 1(40) X(40) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 7(21) 8(29) 1(30) X(30) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 6( 7) 19(26) 12(38) 8(46) 1(47) X(47) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 6 20(26) 25(51) 7(58) 3(61) X(61) X(61) JACKSONVILLE 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 7 18(25) 15(40) 4(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 13 18(31) 12(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) ORLANDO FL 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COCOA BEACH FL 34 5 12(17) 10(27) 2(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 5 7(12) 7(19) 1(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) W PALM BEACH 34 3 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) MIAMI FL 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MARATHON FL 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KEY WEST FL 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MARCO ISLAND 34 12 7(19) 4(23) X(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) FT MYERS FL 34 19 10(29) 5(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) VENICE FL 34 41 12(53) 3(56) X(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) VENICE FL 50 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TAMPA FL 34 46 17(63) 6(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) TAMPA FL 50 3 11(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) TAMPA FL 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 52 22(74) 8(82) 3(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) CEDAR KEY FL 50 4 25(29) 14(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 19 30(49) 15(64) 2(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 1 14(15) 17(32) 2(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST MARKS FL 34 29 30(59) 13(72) 3(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) ST MARKS FL 50 1 22(23) 18(41) 2(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) ST MARKS FL 64 X 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) APALACHICOLA 34 44 22(66) 6(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) APALACHICOLA 50 5 27(32) 10(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) APALACHICOLA 64 X 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 76 10(86) 2(88) X(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) GFMX 290N 850W 50 36 26(62) 4(66) X(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) GFMX 290N 850W 64 2 16(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) PANAMA CITY FL 34 21 21(42) 9(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) PANAMA CITY FL 50 2 12(14) 7(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COLUMBUS GA 34 1 5( 6) 11(17) 3(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTGOMERY AL 34 2 3( 5) 6(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) PENSACOLA FL 34 4 7(11) 6(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PENSACOLA FL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 13 10(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GFMX 290N 870W 50 2 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GULFPORT MS 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BURAS LA 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 280N 890W 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 276N 855W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 276N 855W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 276N 855W 64 24 10(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 24 288N 846W 34 85 9(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 288N 846W 50 46 26(72) 3(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 24 288N 846W 64 4 20(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 36 300N 836W 34 34 31(65) 12(77) 2(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81) 36 300N 836W 50 2 24(26) 20(46) 2(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) 36 300N 836W 64 X 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 48 320N 820W 34 1 10(11) 22(33) 9(42) 7(49) X(49) X(49) 48 320N 820W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 48 320N 820W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 345N 775W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 22(26) 3(29) 1(30) 72 345N 775W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) 72 345N 775W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 380N 700W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 5(21) 96 380N 700W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 96 380N 700W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 450N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 120 450N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 120 450N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 65 60 30 30 40 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER PASCH $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC