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Tropical Storm ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
0900Z MON JUN 12 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  12(21)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   8(18)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   1(14)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   2(15)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
HARTFORD CO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   3(22)   X(22)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   2(23)   X(23)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  17(22)   1(23)   X(23)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)   1(16)   X(16)
COLUMBIA SC    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   1(24)   X(24)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  12(27)   X(27)   X(27)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
AUGUSTA GA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  17(25)   7(32)   X(32)   X(32)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  1   7( 8)  18(26)  17(43)   3(46)   X(46)   X(46)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
JACKSONVILLE   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  1   7( 8)  17(25)  10(35)   3(38)   X(38)   X(38)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  3   9(12)  15(27)   7(34)   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   6( 6)  12(18)   6(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   4( 4)   9(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  4   8(12)   5(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  5  11(16)   7(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
VENICE FL      34 11  15(26)   9(35)   2(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
VENICE FL      50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34 10  19(29)  17(46)   2(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
TAMPA FL       50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 11  24(35)  23(58)   5(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   2( 2)  12(14)   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  7  19(26)  18(44)   4(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 10  24(34)  20(54)   4(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
ST MARKS FL    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 21  29(50)  13(63)   2(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   6( 6)  11(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 43  28(71)   8(79)   X(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  1  14(15)  15(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 14  23(37)  10(47)   2(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   5(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  4   7(11)   4(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 25  17(42)   3(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  1   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MOBILE AL      34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BURAS LA       34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  5   5(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 271N  867W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 271N  867W 50 27  11(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 12 271N  867W 64  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 24 281N  856W 34 78  12(90)   2(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 281N  856W 50  6  28(34)   7(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 24 281N  856W 64  X   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 36 295N  837W 34 15  28(43)  22(65)   3(68)   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 36 295N  837W 50  X   4( 4)  14(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 36 295N  837W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 48 310N  815W 34  X   4( 4)  15(19)  18(37)   6(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 48 310N  815W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 310N  815W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 350N  735W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   4(26)   1(27)
 72 350N  735W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 72 350N  735W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 415N  640W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   7(25)
 96 415N  640W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 96 415N  640W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 465N  520W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
120 465N  520W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
120 465N  520W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     55      55      45      45      45      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC