ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 0900Z MON JUN 12 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 8(18) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HARTFORD CO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) X(22) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 2(23) X(23) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 1(23) X(23) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 15(23) 1(24) X(24) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 12(27) X(27) X(27) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 17(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 7( 8) 18(26) 17(43) 3(46) X(46) X(46) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 7( 8) 17(25) 10(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 3 9(12) 15(27) 7(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) 6(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) W PALM BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MIAMI FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MARATHON FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KEY WEST FL 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MARCO ISLAND 34 4 8(12) 5(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) FT MYERS FL 34 5 11(16) 7(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) VENICE FL 34 11 15(26) 9(35) 2(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) VENICE FL 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 10 19(29) 17(46) 2(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) TAMPA FL 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CEDAR KEY FL 34 11 24(35) 23(58) 5(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 2( 2) 12(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 7 19(26) 18(44) 4(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 10 24(34) 20(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) ST MARKS FL 50 X 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 21 29(50) 13(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) APALACHICOLA 50 X 6( 6) 11(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 43 28(71) 8(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) GFMX 290N 850W 50 1 14(15) 15(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PANAMA CITY FL 34 14 23(37) 10(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PENSACOLA FL 34 4 7(11) 4(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) GFMX 290N 870W 34 25 17(42) 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) GFMX 290N 870W 50 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MOBILE AL 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GULFPORT MS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURAS LA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 34 5 5(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 271N 867W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 271N 867W 50 27 11(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 12 271N 867W 64 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 281N 856W 34 78 12(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 24 281N 856W 50 6 28(34) 7(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 24 281N 856W 64 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 295N 837W 34 15 28(43) 22(65) 3(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) 36 295N 837W 50 X 4( 4) 14(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 36 295N 837W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 310N 815W 34 X 4( 4) 15(19) 18(37) 6(43) X(43) X(43) 48 310N 815W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) 48 310N 815W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 350N 735W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 4(26) 1(27) 72 350N 735W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 72 350N 735W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 415N 640W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 7(25) 96 415N 640W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 96 415N 640W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 465N 520W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 120 465N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 120 465N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 55 55 45 45 45 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC