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Tropical Storm ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
2100Z SUN JUN 11 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 
HARTFORD CO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)   X(15)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   6(16)   X(16)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   1(15)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   2(15)   X(15)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   1(16)   X(16)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  12(17)   1(18)   X(18)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)  13(28)   X(28)   X(28)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  12(18)  12(30)   X(30)   X(30)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  13(21)   8(29)   X(29)   X(29)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   9(22)   X(22)   X(22)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   7(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  1   3( 4)   9(13)   6(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
VENICE FL      34  2   4( 6)  14(20)   8(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)
VENICE FL      50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TAMPA FL       34  1   4( 5)  16(21)  12(33)   4(37)   X(37)   X(37)
TAMPA FL       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  1   3( 4)  17(21)  14(35)   6(41)   1(42)   X(42)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   3( 3)  10(13)  10(23)   3(26)   X(26)   X(26)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   4( 4)  13(17)  11(28)   3(31)   1(32)   X(32)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  1   7( 8)  18(26)   8(34)   3(37)   X(37)   X(37)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  4  13(17)  24(41)   6(47)   2(49)   X(49)   X(49)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  1   5( 6)  13(19)   7(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  5  12(17)  10(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BURAS LA       34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  4   6(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HAVANA         34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 254N  877W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 254N  877W 50 13   8(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 12 254N  877W 64  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 24 265N  870W 34 81   8(89)   1(90)   X(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 265N  870W 50  5  15(20)   5(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 24 265N  870W 64  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 278N  854W 34 23  24(47)  19(66)   3(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 36 278N  854W 50  X   3( 3)  10(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 278N  854W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 290N  835W 34  1   6( 7)  21(28)  13(41)   4(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 48 290N  835W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 290N  835W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 330N  770W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   3(19)   X(19)
 72 330N  770W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 72 330N  770W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 390N  670W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)
 96 390N  670W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 96 390N  670W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 460N  540W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
120 460N  540W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
120 460N  540W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     45      45      40      35      35      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC