ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 2100Z SUN JUN 11 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) HARTFORD CO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) X(16) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) 1(15) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 1(16) X(16) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 1(18) X(18) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 13(28) X(28) X(28) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 12(30) X(30) X(30) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 13(21) 8(29) X(29) X(29) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 9(22) X(22) X(22) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KEY WEST FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MARCO ISLAND 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) FT MYERS FL 34 1 3( 4) 9(13) 6(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22) VENICE FL 34 2 4( 6) 14(20) 8(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TAMPA FL 34 1 4( 5) 16(21) 12(33) 4(37) X(37) X(37) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 3( 4) 17(21) 14(35) 6(41) 1(42) X(42) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 10(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST MARKS FL 34 X 4( 4) 13(17) 11(28) 3(31) 1(32) X(32) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) APALACHICOLA 34 1 7( 8) 18(26) 8(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 13(17) 24(41) 6(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 5( 6) 13(19) 7(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 870W 34 5 12(17) 10(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 34 4 6(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 254N 877W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 254N 877W 50 13 8(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 12 254N 877W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 265N 870W 34 81 8(89) 1(90) X(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) 24 265N 870W 50 5 15(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 24 265N 870W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 278N 854W 34 23 24(47) 19(66) 3(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) 36 278N 854W 50 X 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 36 278N 854W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 290N 835W 34 1 6( 7) 21(28) 13(41) 4(45) X(45) X(45) 48 290N 835W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 290N 835W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 330N 770W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 3(19) X(19) 72 330N 770W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 72 330N 770W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 390N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) 96 390N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 96 390N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 460N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 120 460N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 120 460N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 45 40 35 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER PASCH $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC