Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane KENNETH


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT TUE SEP 20 2005
 
A CURVED BAND HAS BEEN TRYING TO DEVELOP AROUND THE CENTER OF
KENNETH DURING THE DAY...HOWEVER OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS INFRARED
IMAGERY INDICATES THE CYCLONE ALMOST DEVOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. 
DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB...AND 65 KT FROM
AFWA.  BASED ON THE CLASSIFICATIONS AND SATELLITE APPEARANCE...
KENNETH HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS
NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
WEAKENS THE STORM ON A SLOWER TREND THAN THE SHIPS MODEL.

INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 290/2. THE SOUTHWEST DRIFT SEEN
EARLIER TODAY APPEARS TO HAVE STOPPED...AND KENNETH HAS NOW RESUMED
A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. THE STORM IS BEING STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS HIGH IS FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL
MODELS TO MOVE FURTHER TO THE EAST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
CONTINUE TO STEER KENNETH TO THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST.  THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND FOLLOWS
THE CONU CONSENSUS MODEL. 
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      20/2100Z 13.1N 131.6W    55 KT
 12HR VT     21/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W    50 KT
 24HR VT     21/1800Z 13.8N 132.9W    45 KT
 36HR VT     22/0600Z 14.5N 133.7W    40 KT
 48HR VT     22/1800Z 15.0N 134.2W    35 KT
 72HR VT     23/1800Z 16.0N 135.5W    30 KT
 96HR VT     24/1800Z 17.5N 138.5W    30 KT
120HR VT     25/1800Z 18.5N 142.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 20-Sep-2005 21:10:20 UTC