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Hurricane LINDA


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2003
 
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REMAINED ABSENT FROM THE CENTER OF LINDA FOR
ABOUT THE PAST 12 HOURS...EVEN THOUGH SSTS ARE NEAR 27C.  THIS
APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS
CONTINUING TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER.... LIKELY
STABILIZING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE.  THESE CLOUDS ARE QUITE EXTENSIVE
AND LOOK TO HAVE ENVELOPED MOST OF THE CIRCULATION.  IF DEEP
CONVECTION DOES NOT RETURN THIS AFTERNOON... LINDA COULD BE
DECLARED A REMNANT LOW IN THE NEXT ADVISORY PACKAGE.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH WEAK STEERING
FROM THE DISTANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.  THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE
LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW BECOMES A LITTLE STRONGER.  THE FORECAST
TRACK IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.  IF THE DEPRESSION
MOVES FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH AWAY FROM THE MORE STABLE AIR...IT
COULD MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BUT THIS IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME.  
 
FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      17/1500Z 20.3N 117.0W    30 KT
 12HR VT     18/0000Z 19.9N 117.4W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     18/1200Z 19.4N 118.3W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     19/0000Z 18.9N 119.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     19/1200Z 18.6N 120.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     20/1200Z 18.4N 122.1W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     21/1200Z 18.3N 123.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     22/1200Z 18.2N 125.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:59 UTC