Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm ANDRES


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003
 
VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER WATER SEEM TO HAVE DELIVERED A LETHAL BLOW
TO ANDRES.  THE CYCLONE IS NOW A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS...WITH
NO SIGN OF A CONVECTIVE FLARE-UP SIMILAR TO THE LAST THREE NIGHTS. 
THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED MOSTLY 25-30 KT WINDS...WITH ONLY
ONE SUSPECT 35 KT WIND.  SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT
FROM AFWA...30 KT FROM TAFB...AND TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY FROM SAB. 
BASED ON THE ABOVE...ANDRES IS DOWNGRADED TO A 30 KT DEPRESSION. 
THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN UNTIL IT BECOMES A REMNANT LOW
IN 24-36 HR.  WHILE THE REMNANT IS FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH 72
HR...NONE OF THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM THAT LONG
AND IT COULD WELL WEAKEN TO AN EASTERLY WAVE BEFORE THEN.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 280/14...AS THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER IS MOSTLY CONCEALED BY CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-
LEVEL FLOW.  THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD IN THE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW UNTIL IT DISSIPATES.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      25/0900Z 14.9N 135.3W    30 KT
 12HR VT     25/1800Z 15.0N 137.3W    25 KT
 24HR VT     26/0600Z 15.0N 139.7W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     26/1800Z 15.0N 142.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     27/0600Z 15.0N 144.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     28/0600Z 15.0N 149.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:55 UTC