ABPZ20 KNHC 310531
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUL 30 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
centered about 850 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula continue to increase in organization.
Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by late Sunday or early Monday
while the low moves toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
A trough of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days
several hundred miles south of Mexico. Some development of this
system is possible by the middle of next week while it moves
west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent