000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261604
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Fri Apr 26 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1550 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The equatorial trough extends from 07N78W to 08N100W to 07N120W.
The ITCZ continues from 07N120W to 05N130W to beyond 05N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 09N E of 89W,
from 03N to 13N W of 101W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1033 mb center of high pressure extends a broad ridge 
southeastward to the offshore waters of Baja California. The 
pressure gradient between the ridge and a surface trough over 
NW and central Mexico is supporting moderate to fresh 
NW winds across the Baja California waters, where seas are 5 to 
8 ft in NW swell. Gentle to moderate SW to W winds are inside 
the northern Gulf of California. NW winds of the same speed are
across the remaining Gulf. Seas along the Gulf are 2 to 4 ft. 
Mainly gentle W to NW winds and seas at 4 to 5 ft prevail across 
the remainder of the S and SW Mexican offshore waters in SW swell.

For the forecast, strong high pressure will continue across the 
NE Pacific to sustain moderate to fresh NW winds across the Baja
offshore waters, becoming locally strong during the afternoon 
and evening hours through Sat night. Westerly gap winds are 
expected to develop inside the Gulf of California today, and 
increase to fresh to strong across the northern and central 
portions Fri evening through early Sat morning. The high pressure
will move east and weaken modestly Sun through the middle of 
next week, leading to weakening winds across the area waters. 
Moderate NW swell will build across the Baja waters today then 
become reinforced over the weekend, with seas building to 8 to 11
ft across the outer waters of Baja Norte Sat night. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scattered showers and isolated tstms prevail across the offshore
waters of Costa Rica, Panama and between the Galapagos Islands
and Ecuador. Fresh easterly gap winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are 
noted across the Papagayo region, extending offshore to 92W. 
Light to gentle variable winds with 3 to 5 ft seas are present 
elsewhere in SW swell. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong easterly gap winds are 
expected across the Papagayo region tonight, then moderate to 
fresh winds with moderate seas are forecast through Sat morning.
Moderate to fresh N winds will pulse at night in the Gulf of 
Panama until Sat morning. Gentle to locally moderate winds with 
moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through Mon before new S 
swell raises seas across the regional waters Mon night and Tue.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1033 mb center of high pressure extends a broad ridge S-SE
across the waters north of the ITCZ and west of 110W. Moderate N
to NE winds with seas at 5 to 6 ft dominate the waters north of 
21N and west of 120W. Moderate to fresh trades and 6 to 9 ft seas
exist from 07N to 21N and W of 110W, with locally strong winds 
and seas 8 to 10 ft west of 134W. Gentle to moderate E to SE 
winds and 5 to 6 ft seas in moderate, cross equatorial S swell 
prevail near and S of the ITCZ.

For the forecast, the moderate to fresh trade winds will continue
S of 21N and west of 120W through Mon, occasionally pulsing to 
strong. This will maintain seas at 6 to 9 ft south of the ridge.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas at 7 to 10 ft are 
expected north of 20N and east of 125W today through Mon. Little
change is forecast across the remainder of the waters through 
early next week.

$$
Ramos