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Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 041532
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1605 UTC FRI SEP 04 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1430 UTC.               

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 21.2N 115.2W AT 1500 UTC SEP 4 MOVING 
N OR 010 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT GUSTS 60 
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 998 MB. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. KEVIN IS EXPECTED 
TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME UNFAVORABLE WITH DIMINISHING SST 
AND A DRIER MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT SUN. REFER TO THE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC 
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...            

MONSOON TROUGH IS FROM 10N85W TO 10N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 270 NM OF TROUGH. 

...DISCUSSION...

HURRICANE JIMENA REMAINS W OF THE FORECAST AREA NEAR 19.7N145.1W 
AT 1500 UTC. SEAS GENERATED BY THE HURRICANE COVER A PORTION OF 
WESTERN FORECAST WATERS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT CURRENTLY 
FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 137W. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL CONTINUE 
TO COVER MUCH OF THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 

GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE FOUND OVER MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE 
OF JIMENA AND KEVIN. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS OVER 
SOUTHERN WATERS S OF LINE FROM 00N132W TO 12N122W TO 12N113W TO 
03.4S104W. THE AREAL COVERAGE OF SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL 
SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BY SUN SEAS 8 FT 
OR GREATER WILL COVER THE AREA FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 111W AND 
117W. 

$$
FORMOSA


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Page last modified: Friday, 04-Sep-2015 15:33:07 UTC