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Post-Tropical Cyclone NEWTON Public Advisory


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000
WTPZ35 KNHC 072033
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
300 PM MDT WED SEP 07 2016

...NEWTON MOVES INTO SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA AS A REMNANT LOW...
...FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.6N 111.2W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM WNW OF NOGALES ARIZONA
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSW OF TUCSON ARIZONA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Wind advisories are in effect for portions of southeastern Arizona.
Flash flood watches are in effect for southeastern Arizona and
southwestern New Mexico.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Newton
was located over southeastern Arizona near latitude 31.6 North,
longitude 111.2 West.  The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward
the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h).  A turn toward the
northeast is expected before the remnant low dissipates.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast, and the remnant low
is expected to dissipate by late tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Gusts to tropical storm force are still possible over
portions of southeastern Arizona through this evening, especially in
areas of high terrain.  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides
of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the
near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated
locations could be even greater.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across portions of southeastern
Arizona and southwestern New Mexico through tonight.  Locally higher
amounts up to 3 inches will be possible over higher terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 9 PM MDT, under AWIPS header TCPEP5, WMO header
WTPZ35 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$
Forecaster Berg