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Tropical Storm IRWIN Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 280838
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102017
0900 UTC FRI JUL 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 124.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 124.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 124.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.9N 124.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.0N 124.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.7N 124.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.4N 124.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.0N 126.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 124.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS