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Tropical Depression NINE-E Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 211454
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
1500 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.0N  93.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.0N  93.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.0N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z  9.4N  95.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 10.0N  98.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 10.9N 100.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.2N 101.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.5N 104.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.0N  93.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA