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Hurricane HILARY Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 270850
TCMEP4

HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
0900 UTC THU JUL 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 114.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.7N 116.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.4N 118.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.1N 119.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.8N 121.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 22.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN