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Hurricane HILARY Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 271433
TCMEP4

HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
1500 UTC THU JUL 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 116.0W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 116.0W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 117.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.7N 118.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N 120.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.2N 122.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.8N 131.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.6N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 116.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY