000
WTPZ24 KNHC 130831
TCMEP4
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042025
0900 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 100.8W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 100.8W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 100.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.7N 101.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.9N 103.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.0N 104.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.4N 108.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.6N 110.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 18.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 100.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 13/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN