Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm MADELINE Forecast Advisory


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 270248
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142016
0300 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 137.4W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 137.4W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 137.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.6N 138.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.4N 139.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.1N 141.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.0N 142.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 19.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 137.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE