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Tropical Storm GUILLERMO Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 302031
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
2100 UTC THU JUL 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 128.4W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 128.4W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 127.7W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.6N 130.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 11.5N 133.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.4N 136.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.2N 139.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.9N 143.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 16.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 148.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.8N 128.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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Page last modified: Thursday, 30-Jul-2015 20:31:48 UTC