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Tropical Storm MADELINE Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 270855
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142016
0900 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 138.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 138.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 138.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.1N 139.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.8N 140.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.7N 141.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.8N 143.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.5N 146.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 20.5N 150.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 20.5N 155.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 138.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN