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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310856
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
0900 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 137.5W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 137.5W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 137.0W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.7N 139.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 141.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.3N 143.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.9N 145.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.2N 151.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 21.8N 156.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N 161.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 137.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA