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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 292031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
2100 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 130.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 130.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 129.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 132.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.1N 134.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 18.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.1N 139.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 19.6N 148.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 21.2N 153.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 130.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS