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Tropical Storm ROSLYN Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270233
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182016
0300 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 118.4W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 118.4W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.9N 117.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.1N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.5N 116.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.7N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N 118.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 118.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI